Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#193
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#209
Pace61.3#301
Improvement+2.4#78

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#151
Improvement+7.3#3

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#247
Improvement-4.8#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 102   @ Lamar L 62-65 18%     0 - 1 +5.1 -13.0 +18.4
  Nov 15, 2011 97   Missouri St. L 46-77 37%     0 - 2 -29.4 -23.9 -6.4
  Nov 17, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 63-45 93%     1 - 2 +0.1 -10.2 +13.1
  Nov 20, 2011 71   @ Ohio L 54-69 13%     1 - 3 -4.7 -11.5 +6.6
  Nov 22, 2011 19   @ Louisville L 27-54 6%     1 - 4 -10.5 -30.0 +16.6
  Nov 29, 2011 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-63 70%     2 - 4 +8.9 +5.5 +4.6
  Dec 01, 2011 57   @ St. Bonaventure W 58-52 11%     3 - 4 +17.5 -2.4 +20.7
  Dec 05, 2011 212   @ Austin Peay L 82-86 OT 41%     3 - 5 -3.2 +2.3 -5.2
  Dec 10, 2011 324   Central Arkansas W 71-64 90%     4 - 5 -8.9 -12.4 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2011 223   Seattle W 87-74 69%     5 - 5 +6.3 +4.4 +0.8
  Dec 17, 2011 42   @ Murray St. L 53-66 10%     5 - 6 -0.3 -8.1 +6.5
  Dec 22, 2011 20   @ Saint Louis L 46-70 6%     5 - 7 -7.5 -6.6 -6.5
  Dec 29, 2011 116   Kent St. L 54-69 43%     5 - 8 -14.8 -17.4 +2.1
  Dec 31, 2011 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 65-63 70%     6 - 8 1 - 0 -5.1 -1.6 -3.2
  Jan 05, 2012 79   Denver L 50-53 33%     6 - 9 1 - 1 +0.0 -10.0 +9.2
  Jan 07, 2012 159   North Texas W 75-72 54%     7 - 9 2 - 1 +0.3 +0.5 -0.3
  Jan 09, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic L 50-58 65%     7 - 10 2 - 2 -13.8 -17.5 +2.5
  Jan 14, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock L 62-63 61%     7 - 11 2 - 3 -5.5 -2.0 -3.6
  Jan 19, 2012 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 46-59 11%     7 - 12 2 - 4 -1.4 -12.5 +9.0
  Jan 21, 2012 198   Louisiana W 79-74 64%     8 - 12 3 - 4 -0.3 +7.2 -7.6
  Jan 26, 2012 79   @ Denver L 52-66 14%     8 - 13 3 - 5 -4.2 -8.6 +1.8
  Jan 28, 2012 159   @ North Texas L 64-76 29%     8 - 14 3 - 6 -7.9 -3.6 -4.6
  Feb 02, 2012 309   Louisiana Monroe W 72-64 87%     9 - 14 4 - 6 -5.9 -5.4 -0.1
  Feb 04, 2012 223   @ Seattle L 69-75 43%     9 - 15 -5.9 +0.6 -6.8
  Feb 09, 2012 205   @ South Alabama L 57-74 38%     9 - 16 4 - 7 -15.7 -9.9 -7.3
  Feb 11, 2012 198   @ Louisiana L 65-68 OT 38%     9 - 17 4 - 8 -1.5 -5.0 +3.7
  Feb 16, 2012 267   Troy W 83-59 77%     10 - 17 5 - 8 +14.4 +13.7 +4.4
  Feb 18, 2012 231   Florida International W 77-67 70%     11 - 17 6 - 8 +2.8 +5.8 -2.4
  Feb 23, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky L 76-79 36%     11 - 18 6 - 9 -1.1 +5.3 -6.3
  Feb 25, 2012 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 60-62 35%     11 - 19 6 - 10 +0.4 +0.5 -0.5
  Mar 03, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic W 70-55 53%     12 - 19 +12.6 +4.7 +9.7
  Mar 04, 2012 54   Middle Tennessee W 64-61 18%     13 - 19 +11.2 +5.1 +6.5
  Mar 05, 2012 159   North Texas L 72-76 41%     13 - 20 -3.3 +9.8 -13.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%